We Take A Look At The 'Sovereign Stakes'

The biggest prize money on offer in the UK mainland today, is the Sovereign Stakes at Salisbury.

Eleven runners take their chances for the £42'533 prize.

Thanks to our friends at NWRacing we have had a look at the main competitors of the race.

From the ratings we can see straight away that the race is competitive. However TULLIUS is top rated over all, and top on both R1 & R2 ratings. But with the ratings so tight there really isn't much to choose between the top six horses.

Using NWRacing's unique Official Figures Strategy (OFS) we can see that CUSTOM CUT comes out top. MUSTADEEM who came out towards the bottom of the ratings comes 2nd on the OFS. Third and fourth are KODI BEAR & TULLIUS.

Taking a look at the Speed Figures we can once again see that TULLIUS comes out well in 2nd. Top Speed figure horse is KODI BEAR with CUSTOM CUT joint 3rd with MUSTADEEM.

Nothing much to choose between as far as recent trainer form goes. But KODI BEAR, TULLIUS, MUSTADEEM & FANCIFUL ANGEL have good recent form.

Looking in to the race in a little more detail...

TULLIUS won this race in 2012 but carries 5lb more today. Won a Group 2 race last time out over 1m2f, but the shorter One Mile trip should be fine today. The ground conditions may be a little to firm today?

KODI BEAR ran well in the Dewhurst on final 2 year old start. Came 4th in a Group 1 last time out and may be a little below par. But previous to that run he won a listed event at Windsor when led all the way.

MUSTADEEM drops back to 1m today having gone off far to fast over 1m 2f last time out and not getting home (Royal Ascot (Group 3)).

CUSTOM CUT has 5lb more on its back today after a number of decent recent runs. Looks like the gelding could have what it takes to be involved and the 1m should suit. Looks to be versatile ground wise too.

Conclusion

KODI BEAR should go well but the price of 3/1 looks a little skinny to me. A tentative vote goes to TULLIUS who looks a value price at 13/2 who should run a decent race and give us a good run for our money.

For more information on NWRacing please go to www.nwracing.co.uk

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Have a great day.